CSP CSP.GG

Transparent production metrics

How the CSP model works

The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.

Settled 1449
Accuracy 57.4%
Baseline 58.0%
Brier score 0.241
Log loss 0.674

Quality by confidence

Stated probabilitySettledAccuracyBrier
0.5-0.695153.1%0.248
0.6-0.747966.2%0.223
0.7-0.81952.6%0.283

Calibration

Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.

0.2-0.3 · n=3
26.8% / 33.3%
0.3-0.4 · n=36
37.3% / 41.7%
0.4-0.5 · n=488
44.9% / 51.6%
0.5-0.6 · n=463
55.5% / 58.1%
0.6-0.7 · n=443
65.6% / 66.8%
0.7-0.8 · n=16
71.5% / 50.0%

Separate from the headline

Experimental models

Validation in progress

Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.

Total mapsRound totals

By market

MarketSettledAccuracyWon / Lost
Map round totals 1449 57.4% 841 / 608

By line

Map round totals

LineSettledAccuracy
19.5 483 66.7%
20.5 483 56.1%
21.5 483 49.5%

Immutable settled history

Prediction archive

2589 rows
DateMarketMatchLine/MapPickProbabilityOutcome
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals ex-Zero Tenacity — Fortress 19.5 · cache over 41.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 21.5 · anubis over 47.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 20.5 · anubis over 57.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 19.5 · anubis over 70.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 21.5 · ancient over 46.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 20.5 · ancient over 56.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 19.5 · ancient over 67.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 21.5 · cache over 45.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 20.5 · cache over 52.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 19.5 · cache over 69.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 21.5 · inferno over 46.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 20.5 · inferno over 55.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 19.5 · inferno over 65.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 21.5 · mirage over 46.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 20.5 · mirage over 56.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 19.5 · mirage over 70.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 21.5 · ancient over 51.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 20.5 · ancient over 57.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 19.5 · ancient over 69.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 21.5 · nuke over 45.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 20.5 · nuke over 56.0% won
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 19.5 · nuke over 70.0% won
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 21.5 · dust2 over 45.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 20.5 · dust2 over 54.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 19.5 · dust2 over 66.0% lost