Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
197
Accuracy
53.3%
Baseline
56.9%
Brier score
0.269
Log loss
0.744
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 93 | 51.6% | 0.251 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 68 | 60.3% | 0.241 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 19 | 36.8% | 0.379 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 15 | 53.3% | 0.351 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=15
16.3% / 46.7%
0.2-0.3 · n=19
25.5% / 63.2%
0.3-0.4 · n=56
35.5% / 32.1%
0.4-0.5 · n=62
44.2% / 46.8%
0.5-0.6 · n=31
55.3% / 48.4%
0.6-0.7 · n=12
64.4% / 25.0%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 197 | 53.3% | 85 / 112 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 197 | 53.3% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | SAW Youngsters — Inner Circle Academy | 2.5 | over | 53.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 13:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Falcons Force — Eternal Premium | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 13:40 UTC+3 | Total maps | Legion — Revenge | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-09 13:40 UTC+3 | Total maps | DEPO — OxinGame | 2.5 | over | 36.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-09 13:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Teletubisie — Eternal Fire Academy | 2.5 | over | 25.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 12:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | TYLOO — GamerLegion | 2.5 | over | 66.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 12:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Nemesis — SINNERS | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-09 11:40 UTC+3 | Total maps | Gatorian — Elite Klan | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 11:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Enjoy — Falcons Force | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 11:10 UTC+3 | Total maps | BIG — G2 Esports | 2.5 | over | 51.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Nuclear Tigeres — 1WIN | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-09 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | K27 — Virtus.Pro | 2.5 | over | 58.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | HOTU — Wildcard | 2.5 | over | 27.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 09:40 UTC+3 | Total maps | LFO 8 — Finishers | 2.5 | over | 23.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-09 09:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Flyquest — Devious | 2.5 | over | 28.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | 9z Team — MIBR | 2.5 | over | 52.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 06:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | 5star eSports — The MongolZ | 2.5 | over | 48.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 06:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Magic Esport — FaZe Clan | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 03:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | LAG — Empire | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 21:40 UTC+3 | Total maps | gothboiclique — MADMANgg | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 21:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | DINERO — BOJONG | 2.5 | over | 17.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Banger Gang — YOUNGLINGS | 2.5 | over | 53.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-08 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Team WW — Novaq | 2.5 | over | 20.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-08 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Team WW — Novaq | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-08 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | mouz NXT — Basement Boys | 2.5 | over | 69.0% | lost |