CSP CSP.GG

Transparent production metrics

How the CSP model works

The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.

Settled 1320
Accuracy 58.3%
Baseline 58.1%
Brier score 0.24
Log loss 0.673

Quality by confidence

Stated probabilitySettledAccuracyBrier
0.5-0.684854.5%0.247
0.6-0.744665.5%0.225
0.7-0.82657.7%0.262

Calibration

Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.

0.2-0.3 · n=3
26.8% / 33.3%
0.3-0.4 · n=46
37.6% / 45.7%
0.4-0.5 · n=433
45.0% / 50.3%
0.5-0.6 · n=415
55.5% / 59.5%
0.6-0.7 · n=400
65.6% / 66.8%
0.7-0.8 · n=23
71.5% / 56.5%

Separate from the headline

Experimental models

Validation in progress

Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.

Total mapsRound totals

By market

MarketSettledAccuracyWon / Lost
Map round totals 1320 58.3% 767 / 553

By line

Map round totals

LineSettledAccuracy
19.5 440 66.8%
20.5 440 58.4%
21.5 440 49.5%

Immutable settled history

Prediction archive

2400 rows
DateMarketMatchLine/MapPickProbabilityOutcome
2026-09-11 02:20 UTC+3 Map round totals Imperial — Pain Gaming 20.5 · inferno over 51.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:20 UTC+3 Map round totals Imperial — Pain Gaming 19.5 · inferno over 62.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 21.5 · dust2 over 40.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 20.5 · dust2 over 48.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 19.5 · dust2 over 48.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 21.5 · inferno over 48.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 20.5 · inferno over 51.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 19.5 · inferno over 59.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 21.5 · inferno over 35.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 20.5 · inferno over 47.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 19.5 · inferno over 47.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 21.5 · nuke over 46.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 20.5 · nuke over 49.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 19.5 · nuke over 53.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 21.5 · mirage over 37.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 20.5 · mirage over 47.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Villainous — Without a Roof 19.5 · mirage over 47.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 21.5 · ancient over 45.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 20.5 · ancient over 45.0% pending
2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 Map round totals Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue 19.5 · ancient over 49.0% pending
2026-09-10 23:45 UTC+3 Map round totals Fluxo — DENDELE CS 21.5 · default-nuke over 45.0% lost
2026-09-10 23:45 UTC+3 Map round totals Fluxo — DENDELE CS 20.5 · default-nuke over 53.0% lost
2026-09-10 23:45 UTC+3 Map round totals Fluxo — DENDELE CS 19.5 · default-nuke over 69.0% lost
2026-09-10 23:45 UTC+3 Map round totals Fluxo — DENDELE CS 21.5 · default-cache over 45.0% lost
2026-09-10 23:45 UTC+3 Map round totals Fluxo — DENDELE CS 20.5 · default-cache over 58.0% lost