Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
197
Accuracy
53.3%
Baseline
56.3%
Brier score
0.269
Log loss
0.744
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 93 | 51.6% | 0.251 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 68 | 60.3% | 0.241 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 19 | 36.8% | 0.379 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 15 | 53.3% | 0.351 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=15
16.3% / 46.7%
0.2-0.3 · n=19
25.5% / 63.2%
0.3-0.4 · n=56
35.5% / 32.1%
0.4-0.5 · n=63
44.1% / 47.6%
0.5-0.6 · n=30
55.3% / 50.0%
0.6-0.7 · n=12
64.4% / 25.0%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 197 | 53.3% | 86 / 111 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 197 | 53.3% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 21:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | MASQ — MADMANgg | 2.5 | over | 41.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | EsportBERG — Falcons Force | 2.5 | over | 31.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | WBT — eSuba | 2.5 | over | 30.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-09 20:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — Fokus | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — Fokus | 2.5 | over | 35.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-09 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | 1WIN — INFINITE | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Mai Tai — Permitta | 2.5 | over | 37.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 18:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | valarmorghulis — FLXRE | 2.5 | over | 22.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 18:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Golden Horde — TSA Black | 2.5 | over | 34.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 18:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Nuclear Tigeres — INOX Division | 2.5 | over | 34.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 17:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | 100 Thieves — BBL | 2.5 | over | 22.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — SINNERS | 2.5 | over | 9.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Saint Sinners — Spirit Academy | 2.5 | over | 47.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Eyeballers — Nemesis | 2.5 | over | 61.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | EAC — Just Players | 2.5 | over | 47.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Phantom Academy — ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.5 | over | 61.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | NaVi Youth — Fire Flux | 2.5 | over | 54.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 15:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Parivision — FURIA | 2.5 | over | 45.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 15:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | BetBoom — Astralis | 2.5 | over | 37.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 14:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | 3DMAX — Acend | 2.5 | over | 35.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | INOX Division — The Last Resort | 2.5 | over | 53.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Noir Verse — Spirit Academy | 2.5 | over | 56.0% | won |
| 2026-09-09 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Heroic — Bestia | 2.5 | over | 27.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | SAW Youngsters — Inner Circle Academy | 2.5 | over | 53.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-09 13:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Falcons Force — Eternal Premium | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | lost |