CSP CSP.GG

Transparent production metrics

How the CSP model works

The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.

Settled 1473
Accuracy 57.4%
Baseline 57.2%
Brier score 0.241
Log loss 0.675

Quality by confidence

Stated probabilitySettledAccuracyBrier
0.5-0.696553.3%0.248
0.6-0.748765.7%0.225
0.7-0.82152.4%0.284

Calibration

Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.

0.2-0.3 · n=3
26.8% / 33.3%
0.3-0.4 · n=36
37.3% / 41.7%
0.4-0.5 · n=495
44.9% / 50.5%
0.5-0.6 · n=470
55.5% / 57.2%
0.6-0.7 · n=451
65.6% / 66.3%
0.7-0.8 · n=18
71.3% / 50.0%

Separate from the headline

Experimental models

Validation in progress

Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.

Total mapsRound totals

By market

MarketSettledAccuracyWon / Lost
Map round totals 1473 57.4% 843 / 630

By line

Map round totals

LineSettledAccuracy
19.5 491 66.0%
20.5 491 55.6%
21.5 491 50.5%

Immutable settled history

Prediction archive

2625 rows
DateMarketMatchLine/MapPickProbabilityOutcome
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals ex-Zero Tenacity — Fortress 21.5 · anubis over 31.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals ex-Zero Tenacity — Fortress 20.5 · anubis over 37.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals ex-Zero Tenacity — Fortress 19.5 · anubis over 45.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Fokus — Virtus.Pro 21.5 · cache over 42.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Fokus — Virtus.Pro 20.5 · cache over 51.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Fokus — Virtus.Pro 19.5 · cache over 68.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals ex-Zero Tenacity — Fortress 21.5 · cache over 32.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals ex-Zero Tenacity — Fortress 20.5 · cache over 36.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals ex-Zero Tenacity — Fortress 19.5 · cache over 41.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 21.5 · anubis over 47.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 20.5 · anubis over 57.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 19.5 · anubis over 70.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 21.5 · ancient over 46.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 20.5 · ancient over 56.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 19.5 · ancient over 67.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 21.5 · cache over 45.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 20.5 · cache over 52.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Noir Verse — Phantom Academy 19.5 · cache over 69.0% pending
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 21.5 · inferno over 46.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 20.5 · inferno over 55.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Sashi — PCIFIC Esports 19.5 · inferno over 65.0% lost
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 21.5 · mirage over 46.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 20.5 · mirage over 56.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 19.5 · mirage over 70.0% unknown
2026-09-12 11:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Lavked — Drama eSports 21.5 · ancient over 51.0% unknown