CSP CSP.GG

Transparent production metrics

How the CSP model works

The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.

Settled 1521
Accuracy 58.0%
Baseline 57.9%
Brier score 0.24
Log loss 0.672

Quality by confidence

Stated probabilitySettledAccuracyBrier
0.5-0.699353.6%0.248
0.6-0.750867.1%0.22
0.7-0.82045.0%0.316

Calibration

Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.

0.2-0.3 · n=3
26.8% / 33.3%
0.3-0.4 · n=38
37.6% / 39.5%
0.4-0.5 · n=510
44.9% / 50.8%
0.5-0.6 · n=483
55.5% / 58.2%
0.6-0.7 · n=470
65.6% / 67.7%
0.7-0.8 · n=17
71.5% / 41.2%

Separate from the headline

Experimental models

Validation in progress

Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.

Total mapsRound totals

By market

MarketSettledAccuracyWon / Lost
Map round totals 1521 58.0% 881 / 640

By line

Map round totals

LineSettledAccuracy
19.5 507 67.1%
20.5 507 57.4%
21.5 507 49.5%

Immutable settled history

Prediction archive

2958 rows
DateMarketMatchLine/MapPickProbabilityOutcome
2026-09-11 19:50 UTC+3 Map round totals M80 — 6666 20.5 · ancient over 47.0% pending
2026-09-11 19:50 UTC+3 Map round totals M80 — 6666 19.5 · ancient over 55.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 21.5 · anubis over 39.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 20.5 · anubis over 56.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 19.5 · anubis over 67.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 21.5 · cache over 36.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 20.5 · cache over 52.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 19.5 · cache over 64.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 21.5 · dust2 over 38.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 20.5 · dust2 over 46.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — The Golden Horde 19.5 · dust2 over 54.0% pending
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 21.5 · anubis over 42.0% lost
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 20.5 · anubis over 58.0% lost
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 19.5 · anubis over 67.0% lost
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 21.5 · cache over 42.0% lost
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 20.5 · cache over 58.0% lost
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 19.5 · cache over 65.0% lost
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 21.5 · anubis over 42.0% lost
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 20.5 · anubis over 57.0% lost
2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 Map round totals gothboiclique — Golden Horde 19.5 · anubis over 61.0% lost
2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Back to Back — Fluxo 21.5 · default-nuke over 46.0% lost
2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Back to Back — Fluxo 20.5 · default-nuke over 56.0% won
2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Back to Back — Fluxo 19.5 · default-nuke over 65.0% won
2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Back to Back — Fluxo 21.5 · default-mirage over 47.0% won
2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 Map round totals Back to Back — Fluxo 20.5 · default-mirage over 55.0% won