Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
200
Accuracy
54.0%
Baseline
57.0%
Brier score
0.267
Log loss
0.739
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 96 | 52.1% | 0.251 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 68 | 60.3% | 0.241 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 19 | 42.1% | 0.356 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 15 | 53.3% | 0.351 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=15
16.3% / 46.7%
0.2-0.3 · n=19
25.6% / 57.9%
0.3-0.4 · n=56
35.6% / 32.1%
0.4-0.5 · n=66
44.2% / 47.0%
0.5-0.6 · n=30
55.3% / 50.0%
0.6-0.7 · n=12
64.4% / 25.0%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 200 | 54.0% | 86 / 114 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 200 | 54.0% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | KUUSAMO — LPH Gaming | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — INFINITE | 2.5 | over | 24.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — INFINITE | 2.5 | over | 27.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Spirit Academy — Permitta | 2.5 | over | 35.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Fokus — 1WIN | 2.5 | over | 60.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | INOX Division — Black Phoenix | 2.5 | over | 45.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 18:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | FLXRE — MADMANgg | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 18:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | pivstar — Golden Horde | 2.5 | over | 48.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 17:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Acend — 100 Thieves | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | ShindeN — Turma do Pagode | 2.5 | over | 22.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Falcons Force — mellren | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | 3DMAX — BBL | 2.5 | over | 24.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | EAC — ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.5 | over | 51.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | megoshort — Misa | 2.5 | over | 57.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 16:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Bushido Wildcats — MORROW | 2.5 | over | 37.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 15:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Magic Esport — Alliance | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 14:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | HOTU — Nemesis | 2.5 | over | 41.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — Inner Circle | 2.5 | over | 19.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | SINNERS — Nuclear Tigeres | 2.5 | over | 41.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-10 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Saint Sinners — Mai Tai | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Leo Team — Team UNiTY | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Inner Circle Academy — Fire Flux | 2.5 | over | 64.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Wildcard — Eyeballers | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Noir Verse — ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.5 | over | 63.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 13:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Misa — Permitta | 2.5 | over | 29.0% | lost |