Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
201
Accuracy
54.2%
Baseline
56.7%
Brier score
0.268
Log loss
0.742
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 97 | 53.6% | 0.25 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 67 | 59.7% | 0.243 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 20 | 40.0% | 0.364 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 15 | 53.3% | 0.351 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=15
16.3% / 46.7%
0.2-0.3 · n=20
25.7% / 60.0%
0.3-0.4 · n=56
35.5% / 33.9%
0.4-0.5 · n=67
44.1% / 44.8%
0.5-0.6 · n=30
55.3% / 50.0%
0.6-0.7 · n=11
64.0% / 27.3%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 201 | 54.2% | 87 / 114 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 201 | 54.2% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Navi Junior — Falcons Force | 2.5 | over | 47.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Bebop — Noir Verse | 2.5 | over | 45.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 09:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | MIBR — Alliance | 2.5 | over | 56.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Team Voca — NRG | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Marsborne — Team Liquid | 2.5 | over | 49.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Team Voca — NRG | 2.5 | over | 55.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 04:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Brahmas — Smokepoint | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 04:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | LAG — exregain | 2.5 | over | 31.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 03:50 UTC+3 | Total maps | Zomblers LLC — For Fun | 2.5 | over | 21.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 03:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Overtake Sector — Playing for fun | 2.5 | over | 35.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 03:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Chicken Coop Esports — Slimy Boogermen | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 03:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | CLUB 333 — Villainous | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 02:50 UTC+3 | Total maps | Marsborne — Olympus | 2.5 | over | 35.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 02:20 UTC+3 | Total maps | Imperial — paiN | 2.5 | over | 32.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 | Total maps | Villainous — Without a Roof | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 | Total maps | Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue | 2.5 | over | 34.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-10 23:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Fluxo — DENDELE CS | 2.5 | over | 28.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 21:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | gothboiclique — Quintessence | 2.5 | over | 59.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-10 21:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | TitanFlow — BOJONG | 2.5 | over | 53.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-10 20:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Galorys — Back to Back | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | KUUSAMO — LPH Gaming | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — INFINITE | 2.5 | over | 24.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — INFINITE | 2.5 | over | 27.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Spirit Academy — Permitta | 2.5 | over | 35.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Fokus — 1WIN | 2.5 | over | 60.0% | lost |