Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
200
Accuracy
55.0%
Baseline
58.0%
Brier score
0.266
Log loss
0.737
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 97 | 54.6% | 0.248 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 66 | 60.6% | 0.239 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 20 | 40.0% | 0.364 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 15 | 53.3% | 0.348 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=15
16.5% / 46.7%
0.2-0.3 · n=20
25.7% / 60.0%
0.3-0.4 · n=55
35.5% / 32.7%
0.4-0.5 · n=66
44.3% / 42.4%
0.5-0.6 · n=31
55.3% / 48.4%
0.6-0.7 · n=11
64.0% / 27.3%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 200 | 55.0% | 84 / 116 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 200 | 55.0% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | GoldenGitte — Teletubisie | 2.5 | over | 57.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | ReThink — Drama eSports | 2.5 | over | 37.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | K27 — Virtus.Pro | 2.5 | over | 52.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Bebop — Noir Verse | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | K27 — Virtus.Pro | 2.5 | over | 55.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | INFURITY Gaming — OLDMIX | 2.5 | over | 23.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | SINNERS — The Last Resort | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Navi Junior — Falcons Force | 2.5 | over | 47.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Bebop — Noir Verse | 2.5 | over | 45.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 09:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | MIBR — Alliance | 2.5 | over | 56.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Team Voca — NRG | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Marsborne — Team Liquid | 2.5 | over | 49.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Team Voca — NRG | 2.5 | over | 55.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 04:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Brahmas — Smokepoint | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 04:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | LAG — exregain | 2.5 | over | 31.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 03:50 UTC+3 | Total maps | Zomblers LLC — For Fun | 2.5 | over | 21.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 03:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Overtake Sector — Playing for fun | 2.5 | over | 35.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 03:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Chicken Coop Esports — Slimy Boogermen | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 03:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | CLUB 333 — Villainous | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 02:50 UTC+3 | Total maps | Marsborne — Olympus | 2.5 | over | 35.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 02:20 UTC+3 | Total maps | Imperial — Pain Gaming | 2.5 | over | 32.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 | Total maps | Villainous — Without a Roof | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 02:10 UTC+3 | Total maps | Chicken Coop Esports — antivalue | 2.5 | over | 34.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-10 23:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Fluxo — DENDELE CS | 2.5 | over | 28.0% | won |
| 2026-09-10 21:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | gothboiclique — Quintessence | 2.5 | over | 59.0% | pending |