Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
197
Accuracy
54.8%
Baseline
57.9%
Brier score
0.267
Log loss
0.74
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 96 | 55.2% | 0.248 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 64 | 59.4% | 0.242 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 21 | 42.9% | 0.349 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 14 | 50.0% | 0.37 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=14
16.2% / 50.0%
0.2-0.3 · n=21
25.6% / 57.1%
0.3-0.4 · n=53
35.4% / 34.0%
0.4-0.5 · n=65
44.2% / 41.5%
0.5-0.6 · n=31
55.3% / 48.4%
0.6-0.7 · n=11
64.0% / 27.3%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 197 | 54.8% | 83 / 114 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 197 | 54.8% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Back to Back — Fluxo | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | 3DMAX — 100 Thieves | 2.5 | over | 36.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Acend — INOX Division | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Iberian Soul — REVENIX | 2.5 | over | 66.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | WBT — sAw | 2.5 | over | 59.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 14:40 UTC+3 | Total maps | CTRL — Prestige Esports | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 14:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | MORROW — Phantom Academy | 2.5 | over | 17.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | SINNERS — Nuclear Tigeres | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Nemesis — Wildcard | 2.5 | over | 36.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Inner Circle Academy — megoshort | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Metizport — Lavked | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 13:50 UTC+3 | Total maps | Vexar — SINQU Esports | 2.5 | over | 41.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 12:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | FURIA — G2 Esports | 2.5 | over | 45.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Inner Circle — B8 | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Inner Circle — B8 | 2.5 | over | 48.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Honvéd — Teletubisie | 2.5 | over | 57.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | ReThink — Drama eSports | 2.5 | over | 37.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | K27 — Virtus.Pro | 2.5 | over | 52.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Bebop — Noir Verse | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | K27 — Virtus.Pro | 2.5 | over | 55.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | INFURITY Gaming — OLDMIX | 2.5 | over | 23.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | SINNERS — The Last Resort | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Navi Junior — Falcons Force | 2.5 | over | 47.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Bebop — Noir Verse | 2.5 | over | 45.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 09:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | MIBR — Alliance | 2.5 | over | 56.0% | lost |