Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
201
Accuracy
53.2%
Baseline
56.7%
Brier score
0.269
Log loss
0.745
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 94 | 51.1% | 0.252 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 69 | 60.9% | 0.239 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 21 | 38.1% | 0.375 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 15 | 53.3% | 0.351 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=15
16.3% / 46.7%
0.2-0.3 · n=21
25.5% / 61.9%
0.3-0.4 · n=57
35.5% / 31.6%
0.4-0.5 · n=63
44.2% / 47.6%
0.5-0.6 · n=31
55.3% / 48.4%
0.6-0.7 · n=12
64.4% / 25.0%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 201 | 53.2% | 87 / 114 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 201 | 53.2% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 17:10 UTC+3 | Total maps | MORROW — Inner Circle AC | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | ENCE — Entropy | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 16:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | megoshort — Noir Verse | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | A Great Chaos — WBT Academy | 2.5 | over | 77.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | A Great Chaos — WBT | 2.5 | over | 44.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | mellren — BERG | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | mouz NXT — KUUSAMO | 2.5 | over | 47.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 15:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | BGNS Orange — Sunday School | 2.5 | over | 28.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 15:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | SINNERS — Phantom Esports | 2.5 | over | 34.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 14:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Mindfreak — Alter Ego | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Azuolas — Bushido Wildcats | 2.5 | over | 45.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Spirit Academy — Mai Tai | 2.5 | over | 32.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | INOX Division — PCIFIC Esports | 2.5 | over | 50.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Strael Bora — Fire Flux | 2.5 | over | 55.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Spirit Academy — yologang420 | 2.5 | over | 31.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 13:55 UTC+3 | Total maps | OLDMIX — Prestige Esports | 2.5 | over | 31.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 13:55 UTC+3 | Total maps | Vexar — BIG Academy | 2.5 | over | 59.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 12:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Nemesis — FORZE Reload | 2.5 | over | 27.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 12:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Mindfreak — Abyssal | 2.5 | over | 18.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 11:10 UTC+3 | Total maps | CTRL — INFURITY Gaming | 2.5 | over | 10.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | ex-RUSTEC — Fortress | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | mouz NXT — The Last Resort | 2.5 | over | 58.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Dark Moon — Noir Verse | 2.5 | over | 30.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Gothic — WBT | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | unknown |
| 2026-09-06 18:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | BOJONG — MASQ | 2.5 | over | 32.0% | lost |