Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
199
Accuracy
53.3%
Baseline
56.8%
Brier score
0.269
Log loss
0.743
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 94 | 51.1% | 0.252 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 69 | 60.9% | 0.239 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 19 | 36.8% | 0.379 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 15 | 53.3% | 0.351 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=15
16.3% / 46.7%
0.2-0.3 · n=19
25.5% / 63.2%
0.3-0.4 · n=57
35.5% / 31.6%
0.4-0.5 · n=63
44.2% / 47.6%
0.5-0.6 · n=31
55.3% / 48.4%
0.6-0.7 · n=12
64.4% / 25.0%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 199 | 53.3% | 86 / 113 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 199 | 53.3% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 14:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Entropy — SAW Youngsters | 2.5 | over | 57.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 13:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | BIG Academy — MORROW | 2.5 | over | 47.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 12:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | HOTU — Betclic | 2.5 | over | 26.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-08 11:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Finishers — Abyssal | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 11:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Alter Ego — Sunday School | 2.5 | over | 34.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 11:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Phantom Academy — EAC Extra | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-08 10:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | Alliance — FaZe Clan | 2.5 | over | 61.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-08 08:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | MIBR — The MongolZ | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 06:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Legacy — Magic Esport | 2.5 | over | 55.0% | won |
| 2026-09-08 06:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | 9z Team — 5star eSports | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 21:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | Quintessence — FLXRE | 2.5 | over | 54.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 21:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | TitanFlow — TSA Black | 2.5 | over | 51.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Nuclear Tigeres — Cybershoke | 2.5 | over | 41.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | PCIFIC Esports — WBT Academy | 2.5 | over | 76.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | G2 Ares — wazabi | 2.5 | over | 53.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | mellren — Basement Boys | 2.5 | over | 41.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Permitta — mouz NXT | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | WRAITH PCIFIC — WBT | 2.5 | over | 40.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Dark Moon — HAVU | 2.5 | over | 39.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | EAC — Team UNiTY | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 18:45 UTC+3 | Total maps | MASQ — M33xAvanMarket | 2.5 | over | 64.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 18:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Diamant Esports — pivstar | 2.5 | over | 49.0% | won |
| 2026-09-07 18:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | INFINITE — INOX Division | 2.5 | over | 36.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-07 17:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Lavked — Leo Team | 2.5 | over | 68.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-07 17:10 UTC+3 | Total maps | MORROW — Inner Circle AC | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | won |