Transparent production metrics
How the CSP model works
The headline contains only the production match-winner model and one frozen prediction per match.
Settled
198
Accuracy
55.1%
Baseline
58.1%
Brier score
0.267
Log loss
0.738
Quality by confidence
| Stated probability | Settled | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5-0.6 | 96 | 55.2% | 0.248 |
| 0.6-0.7 | 65 | 60.0% | 0.24 |
| 0.7-0.8 | 21 | 42.9% | 0.349 |
| 0.8-0.9 | 14 | 50.0% | 0.37 |
| 0.9-1.0 | 2 | 50.0% | 0.423 |
Calibration
Predicted probability compared with the observed outcome rate.
0.0-0.1 · n=2
8.8% / 50.0%
0.1-0.2 · n=14
16.2% / 50.0%
0.2-0.3 · n=21
25.6% / 57.1%
0.3-0.4 · n=54
35.4% / 33.3%
0.4-0.5 · n=65
44.2% / 41.5%
0.5-0.6 · n=31
55.3% / 48.4%
0.6-0.7 · n=11
64.0% / 27.3%
Separate from the headline
Experimental models
Map totals and round totals are still being validated and never affect the production winner accuracy shown above.
By market
| Market | Settled | Accuracy | Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total maps | 198 | 55.1% | 83 / 115 |
By line
Total maps
| Line | Settled | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 198 | 55.1% |
Immutable settled history
Prediction archive
| Date | Market | Match | Line/Map | Pick | Probability | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 01:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | SportsBetExpert — Detonate | 2.5 | over | 27.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 23:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | DENDELE CS — Imperial | 2.5 | over | 36.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 23:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Without a Roof — LAG | 2.5 | over | 29.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 23:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | DENDELE CS — Imperial | 2.5 | over | 50.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 21:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | BOJONG — MADMANgg | 2.5 | over | 42.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Zotix — ex-VP.Prodigy | 2.5 | over | 28.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Banger Gang — WBT Academy | 2.5 | over | 29.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | WBT — Banger Gang | 2.5 | over | 46.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | DINERO — Nexora | 2.5 | over | 63.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | LFO 7 — Nexora | 2.5 | over | 54.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Banda Chuya — LPH Gaming | 2.5 | over | 52.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 20:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | Fire Flux — TSA Green | 2.5 | over | 30.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 20:20 UTC+3 | Total maps | Luminosity Gaming — LP | 2.5 | over | 53.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 20:15 UTC+3 | Total maps | ShindeN — paiN | 2.5 | over | 25.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Spirit Academy Green — Fire Flux | 2.5 | over | 18.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Nuclear Tigeres — B8 | 2.5 | over | 28.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Bushido Wildcats — Entropy | 2.5 | over | 32.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 20:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Ninjas in Pyjamas — 1WIN | 2.5 | over | 37.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 19:50 UTC+3 | Total maps | M80 — 6666 | 2.5 | over | 22.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | gothboiclique — The Golden Horde | 2.5 | over | 33.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 18:30 UTC+3 | Total maps | gothboiclique — Golden Horde | 2.5 | over | 58.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | 1WIN — Nemiga | 2.5 | over | 41.0% | lost |
| 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | WBT Academy — Permitta | 2.5 | over | 16.0% | pending |
| 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | Back to Back — Fluxo | 2.5 | over | 44.0% | won |
| 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC+3 | Total maps | 1WIN — Nemiga | 2.5 | over | 38.0% | pending |